Prepare for a shock BNP victory

Interesting and worrying piece from Tim Hames in the Times today. He says that the BNP will create a shock on election night in London. What do you think?

2 comments ↓

#1 Sonia Gable on 03.31.08 at 2:27 pm

The BNP loves publicity even if it is bad. This is the sort of article that could be a self-fulfilling prophesy. Yes we anti-BNP campaigners also say that the BNP could gain seats on the London Assembly but we couple that with explaining just why that would be so bad for London and a plea to Londoners to make sure they are registered to vote and to turn out and vote on the day.

The main factor is not how far the BNP can stretch its limited resources, as Tim Hames suggests, but how well the democratic parties can persuade the huge majority who would never support the BNP to turn out and vote. The more people vote for other parties, the smaller will be the BNP’s proportion of the vote.

Incidentally Hames’s article is not quite accurate. The BNP will get one seat on the London Assembly with 5% of the vote not 6% and is likely to get two seats with around 8% and three seats with around 11%.

#2 a very public sociologist on 04.01.08 at 10:10 am

It’s possible and I wouldn’t be too surprised if they manage to get a seat or two on the London Assembly. But BNP support doesn’t materialise out of thin air – it thrives in part on the climate of fear created by the right wing press around immigration, crime and the EU. But also it is a response by a section of Labour’s former core constituency to their abandonment by “their” party. Until Labour addresses this, or another force to its left does, the BNP bandwagon will continue to roll on.

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